FC Messina vs Rotonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
CIT
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 0
CIT
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CIT
0 - 0
ASD
35%
22%
43%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CIT
1 - 3
POR
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 0
CIT
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Rotonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ROT
2 - 4
GEL
18%
19%
63%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LOC
3 - 0
ROT
66%
18%
17%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 2
USC
33%
22%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TUR
1 - 0
ROT
70%
17%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 4
ACI
34%
23%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |