FC Messina vs Biancavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CCI
0 - 0
CIT
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CIT
5 - 1
CSA
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
MDR
3 - 3
CIT
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
REN
58%
23%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MES
1 - 0
CIT
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Biancavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
BIA
1 - 0
USC
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 0
BIA
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
BIA
2 - 1
GEL
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CCI
3 - 2
BIA
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BIA
1 - 3
ACI
37%
23%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |