FC Messina vs Agropoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 0
CIT
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
GEL
2 - 0
CIT
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
USV
0 - 0
CIT
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CIT
0 - 1
ACP
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
COM
1 - 0
CIT
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Agropoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
AGR
2 - 1
DTO
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ASD
2 - 2
AGR
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
AGR
0 - 1
GEL
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
USV
3 - 2
AGR
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AGR
1 - 0
ACP
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |