Citizen AA vs Wong Tai Sin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
12º
9º
17
10º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAA
5 - 1
KWA
54%
20%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
EAD
1 - 3
CAA
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAA
2 - 2
HOI
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAA
0 - 2
WIN
20%
21%
59%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAA
1 - 1
HOI
42%
23%
36%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Wong Tai Sin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
4 - 1
WON
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
WON
1 - 2
KWA
35%
22%
44%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
WON
1 - 1
EAD
13%
17%
69%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCA
3 - 1
WON
81%
13%
7%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
WON
0 - 1
CWD
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |