Citizen AA vs Sham Shui Po analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+114%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
CAA
3 - 3
SCA
19%
22%
60%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
SHS
2 - 3
CAA
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAA
2 - 3
PFC
31%
26%
44%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CAA
1 - 2
TMS
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAA
0 - 0
KFC
29%
26%
46%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HON
0 - 1
SHA
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
HON
2 - 2
SHA
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
WTP
2 - 1
SHA
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 1
KFC
19%
25%
57%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
SCA
2 - 1
SHA
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |