Citizen AA vs Kwun Tong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TUN
2 - 5
CAA
41%
24%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAA
2 - 6
SHS
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
YOK
2 - 2
CAA
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TCS
2 - 2
CAA
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CAA
8 - 1
YTS
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Kwun Tong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
KWU
0 - 1
WIN
7%
14%
79%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
KWA
1 - 1
KWU
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
KWU
0 - 1
EAD
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
KWU
2 - 1
TUN
15%
20%
64%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SHS
3 - 2
KWU
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |