Citizen AA vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
CAA
1 - 1
SCA
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
SHF
3 - 2
CAA
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
CAA
1 - 1
SCA
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
CAA
4 - 4
KFC
28%
25%
48%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
BIU
1 - 1
CAA
64%
21%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
HON
1 - 4
HVA
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SCA
2 - 0
HON
52%
24%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
CAA
5 - 1
HON
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
HON
1 - 3
BIU
22%
22%
56%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
SHS
6 - 1
HON
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |