Citizen AA vs Hong Kong 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
KFC
3 - 0
CAA
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
CAA
0 - 3
BIU
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SHS
3 - 1
CAA
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
CAA
1 - 3
HVA
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
SHF
1 - 1
CAA
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
SHS
3 - 0
HKO
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
HKO
0 - 5
HVA
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
HKO
0 - 6
KFC
19%
23%
58%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2005 |
HKO
0 - 5
SCA
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
BIU
4 - 0
HKO
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |