Citizen AA Reserve vs Sunray Cave Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
DRE
3 - 3
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
RRE
1 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
KIT
1 - 2
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
TMR
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
YLO
0 - 7
CAR
19%
21%
60%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Sunray Cave Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
SCR
1 - 2
TMR
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
YLO
0 - 7
SCR
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
HVR
1 - 1
SCR
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
SCR
5 - 1
ESA
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
SCR
3 - 0
PEG
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |