Citizen AA Reserve vs Sun Pegasus Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
DRE
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 6
RRE
27%
24%
50%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -3 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
KIT
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
TMR
2 - 2
CAR
29%
22%
49%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 4
YLO
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Sun Pegasus Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
DRE
2 - 2
PEG
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
PEG
3 - 3
SOU
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
PEG
5 - 2
TMR
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
PEG
2 - 1
SCR
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +4 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
PEG
0 - 1
KIT
65%
19%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |