Citizen AA Reserve vs Kitchee Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
TMR
2 - 2
CAR
29%
22%
49%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 4
YLO
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 3
CAR
21%
21%
58%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
ESA
1 - 3
CAR
20%
21%
60%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
HVR
2 - 3
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kitchee Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
KIT
0 - 11
YLO
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
KIT
0 - 6
SCH
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
PEG
0 - 1
KIT
65%
19%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
DRE
3 - 1
KIT
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
SCR
6 - 1
KIT
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |