Citizen AA Reserve vs Dreams Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
49.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 6
RRE
27%
24%
50%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
KIT
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
TMR
2 - 2
CAR
29%
22%
49%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 4
YLO
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 3
CAR
21%
21%
58%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Dreams Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
DRE
2 - 0
ESA
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 11
DRE
14%
20%
65%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
DRE
2 - 3
TMR
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
DRE
3 - 1
KIT
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
DRE
2 - 1
RRE
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |