Cisliano vs Bastida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cisliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BIA
1 - 2
CIS
11%
17%
72%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 2
ATL
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CIS
1 - 1
LOM
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 2
CIS
23%
22%
55%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CIS
1 - 1
TOR
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bastida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
CON
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CER
0 - 0
BAS
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 0
BAS
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 0
ABB
71%
17%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VIS
1 - 0
BAS
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |