Ciserano vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
CIS
28%
24%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 3
LEC
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MAP
0 - 1
CIS
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
CIS
0 - 2
SER
53%
22%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 1
CIS
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VBE
0 - 3
INV
37%
23%
41%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 0
VBE
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 0
VBE
65%
18%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
VBE
2 - 2
GRU
24%
22%
55%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
VBE
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |