Ciserano vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 3
CIS
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 1
PIA
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
SER
3 - 1
CIS
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
CIS
3 - 2
VIR
39%
24%
38%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 1
CIS
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PSM
0 - 2
VBE
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
INV
0 - 1
PSM
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PON
3 - 0
PSM
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -3 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PSM
1 - 3
AUR
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ACC
1 - 1
PSM
22%
23%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |