Ciserano vs MapelloBonate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PER
1 - 2
CIS
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CIS
2 - 0
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OLG
1 - 2
CIS
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CIS
2 - 0
PSM
50%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
PRO
2 - 1
CIS
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
MapelloBonate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
MAP
1 - 1
PER
52%
23%
24%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
MAP
53%
24%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAP
1 - 2
OLG
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PSM
1 - 1
MAP
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAP
2 - 1
PRO
43%
24%
32%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |