Ciserano vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAP
1 - 1
CIS
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CIS
2 - 2
PER
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
CIS
26%
23%
52%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CIS
3 - 2
OLG
46%
24%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PSM
3 - 1
CIS
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
FOL
46%
27%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
OLG
35%
27%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PSM
1 - 0
FOL
61%
22%
18%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 1
PRO
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |