Ciserano vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PRO
3 - 1
CIS
55%
22%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
OLG
2 - 1
CIS
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CIS
2 - 2
VBE
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LEV
2 - 3
CIS
50%
22%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CIS
0 - 0
SCA
47%
23%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 2
PSM
27%
24%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VBE
1 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
PRO
32%
26%
42%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SCA
0 - 3
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 4
OLG
22%
25%
53%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |