Ciserano vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
CIS
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CIS
4 - 1
ACM
81%
12%
6%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SON
3 - 0
CIS
41%
23%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CIS
5 - 0
INV
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 1
CIS
41%
24%
36%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LEC
1 - 2
PER
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
LEC
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
OLG
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PSM
1 - 2
LEC
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LEC
5 - 1
PRO
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |