Cirencester Town vs Kings Langley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
4º
15º
6º
48
2º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
48 | 48 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
87.5% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
37 | 37 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
29 | 29 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CIR
3 - 0
NOR
36%
22%
43%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
THA
0 - 2
CIR
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CIR
1 - 2
BFC
49%
22%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 3
CIR
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AFD
2 - 3
CIR
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Kings Langley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
KIN
4 - 1
WAR
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
AYL
1 - 2
KIN
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
KIN
1 - 2
WAL
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
KIN
3 - 1
THA
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
KIN
2 - 3
WEL
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |