Círculo Don Bosco vs Esperanza Macarena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Círculo Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 1
CIR
58%
21%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CIR
3 - 1
ESC
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VIS
5 - 3
CIR
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CIR
1 - 2
LOS
24%
23%
53%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CIR
2 - 0
MUR
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Esperanza Macarena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 3
SAN
18%
20%
62%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
ESP
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PIL
3 - 0
ESP
28%
23%
49%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 3
PAL
51%
23%
27%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ESC
0 - 0
ESP
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |