Circulo Deportivo vs Ferrocarril Roca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Circulo Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
JRO
1 - 8
CDC
6%
13%
81%
|
47 | 12 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
CDC
7 - 0
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
EVE
0 - 2
CDC
20%
24%
57%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CDC
3 - 1
GUT
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
FRR
2 - 0
CDC
11%
20%
69%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -2 |
Matches
Ferrocarril Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
FRR
58%
21%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FRR
4 - 1
GUT
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
JRO
2 - 7
FRR
11%
18%
71%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
EVE
2 - 1
FRR
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
FRR
2 - 0
CDC
11%
20%
69%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +7 |