Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Knock-outs 1/32
Global 0-16
Cruz del Vado vs UT Cotopaxi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UT Cotopaxi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
UTC
0 - 0
COL
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
UTC
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CUE
2 - 1
UTC
14%
23%
63%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
UTC
2 - 1
CUE
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
UTC
4 - 2
DEP
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +4 |