Cipolletti vs Real Arroyo Seco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CIP
3 - 0
HUR
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ALV
2 - 0
CIP
19%
26%
55%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CIP
2 - 0
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2009 |
RSA
0 - 0
CIP
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 1
CIP
24%
27%
48%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Arroyo Seco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 1
RAS
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
RAS
1 - 1
BHU
32%
27%
42%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
RAS
0 - 1
PAT
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LIB
4 - 1
RAS
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
9DJ
4 - 0
RAS
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |