Cipolletti vs Real Arroyo Seco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GBR
3 - 1
CIP
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
CIP
2 - 2
RSA
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
CIP
2 - 0
PLA
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
RIV
2 - 3
CIP
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CIP
2 - 2
JUV
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Real Arroyo Seco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
RAS
2 - 2
GBR
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
RSA
0 - 0
RAS
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
RAS
0 - 2
PLA
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
RAS
3 - 1
RIV
42%
26%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
JUV
1 - 1
RAS
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |