Cipolletti vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
RAS
1 - 3
CIP
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2009 |
HUR
1 - 2
CIP
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CIP
2 - 1
ALV
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
CIP
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2009 |
CIP
3 - 1
RSA
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
GBR
1 - 0
GIM
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 1
GBR
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
GBR
3 - 0
HUR
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
ALV
1 - 4
GBR
29%
27%
45%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
GBR
3 - 0
VIL
55%
23%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |