Cipolletti vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DES
2 - 1
CIP
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CIP
1 - 1
MAI
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 0
CIP
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIP
2 - 1
GBR
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RAO
2 - 0
CIP
27%
26%
48%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 0
MAI
33%
30%
38%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
ALV
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 0
RSA
30%
29%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
ALV
44%
26%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 1
UNI
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |