Cipolletti vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
VIL
0 - 0
CIP
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CIP
3 - 0
RSA
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
CIP
2 - 1
ATT
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 3
CIP
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
CIP
1 - 0
TAL
67%
20%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ALV
0 - 1
GBR
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
HUR
1 - 1
ALV
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2008 |
ALV
0 - 0
MAI
42%
27%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
MAI
1 - 1
ALV
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ALV
1 - 1
BVI
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |