Torneo Federal B Promotion Play Off Last 16
Global 3-3
Cipolletti vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
ALV
0 - 0
CIP
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ALI
0 - 4
CIP
15%
23%
62%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
RAC
3 - 2
CIP
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
HUR
1 - 1
CIP
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CIP
1 - 1
INN
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
ALV
0 - 0
CIP
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2007 |
CDC
0 - 1
ALV
17%
23%
60%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 2
ALV
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2007 |
RAO
1 - 0
ALV
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ALV
2 - 3
DVP
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |