Cinfães vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
69.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
GAF
2 - 1
CIN
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CIN
1 - 1
LUS
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
COI
1 - 0
CIN
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CIN
1 - 3
ESP
38%
27%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 0
CIN
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
UNM
0 - 2
ESP
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 0
UNM
19%
24%
57%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 2
LUS
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
COV
3 - 2
UNM
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 1
VAR
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |