Cinfães vs Sousense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CIN
0 - 1
BEN
24%
28%
49%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
EST
2 - 0
CIN
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CIN
2 - 1
GON
53%
26%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TMO
0 - 3
CIN
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
CIN
81%
15%
5%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
CES
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
SOU
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RDA
2 - 1
SOU
33%
23%
44%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
SOU
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
GON
45%
26%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |