Cinfães vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
8º
4º
35
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GFC
0 - 0
CIN
34%
23%
43%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 0
CIN
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CIN
0 - 0
GON
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
CIN
2 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ALP
0 - 2
CIN
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 0
COI
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ADM
1 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
22%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
CAM
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
REG
0 - 0
MAC
21%
20%
59%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 2
MAC
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |