Cinfães vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
CIN
33%
24%
42%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 1
ANA
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
EST
1 - 5
CIN
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 1
CIN
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 0
CIN
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 0
LUS
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
LUS
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
5 - 0
LUS
25%
24%
52%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 2
GRI
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
4 - 4
LUS
26%
25%
50%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |