Cinfães vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SCF
0 - 0
CIN
61%
23%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CIN
2 - 3
TRO
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 0
CIN
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CIN
3 - 1
GON
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SAL
3 - 0
CIN
75%
17%
9%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CES
3 - 2
FEL
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 1
CES
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CES
5 - 0
GAN
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CES
1 - 1
SCF
23%
26%
51%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
TRO
2 - 0
CES
26%
26%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |