Ciney vs Perwez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CIN
2 - 1
JOD
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
RMO
1 - 1
CIN
32%
22%
46%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CIN
1 - 1
SCH
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 4
CIN
19%
19%
63%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CIN
2 - 4
ENT
31%
25%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Perwez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RFC
3 - 1
RAP
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
JEU
1 - 0
RFC
34%
22%
44%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RFC
0 - 0
BRA
59%
20%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 1
RFC
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 3
ONH
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |