Cincinnati Dutch Lions vs Salem City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
SCU
2 - 1
CIN
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
CIN
2 - 0
SCU
72%
17%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
CIN
1 - 3
WES
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 2
CIN
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
CIN
2 - 2
SWV
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Salem City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 3
CAR
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
SWV
2 - 1
CAR
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -3 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 1
SWV
76%
15%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 2
CIN
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
WES
4 - 2
CAR
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -2 |