Cimarrones de Sonora vs Vaqueros Ameca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
TEP
1 - 0
CIM
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
CIM
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -3 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CIM
1 - 0
AGU
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CIM
1 - 1
ALT
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
COR
0 - 2
CIM
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vaqueros Ameca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
VAQ
2 - 1
AGU
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 0
VAQ
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
VAQ
1 - 0
COR
68%
18%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
VAQ
3 - 3
CIU
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BLN
0 - 2
VAQ
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |