Cimarrones de Sonora vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
55.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CIM
2 - 1
MUR
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
CIM
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CIM
0 - 1
CAF
19%
26%
55%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TEP
2 - 3
CIM
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CIM
0 - 0
UAT
17%
26%
57%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
UDG
0 - 1
JUA
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UDG
3 - 0
TOR
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
UDG
53%
25%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 0
UDG
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UDG
3 - 1
TEP
48%
29%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |