Cimarrones de Sonora vs UA Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
6º
1º
20
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 1
CIM
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
CIM
2 - 1
CAP
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
UAT
0 - 2
CIM
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
CIM
0 - 1
TOR
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
MER
0 - 0
CIM
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
ZAC
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 3
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
LCU
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 1
ZAC
17%
22%
62%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ZAC
2 - 2
CFO
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |