Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Tlaxcala FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CIM
4 - 0
LOR
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 0
CIM
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
CIM
22%
25%
54%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CIM
0 - 1
QUE
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 3
CIM
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tlaxcala FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TIA
2 - 0
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TIA
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VER
0 - 1
TIA
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
TIA
1 - 1
ACH
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
TIA
2 - 0
OUN
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |