Cimarrones de Sonora vs Tigres de Álica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+346%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
2º
2º
14
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RAF
1 - 0
CIM
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CIM
2 - 1
LCU
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CIM
4 - 1
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ZAC
0 - 3
CIM
23%
25%
53%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
IRA
3 - 0
CIM
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tigres de Álica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
TDA
1 - 1
EST
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ZAC
3 - 2
TDA
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TDA
1 - 0
MIN
23%
24%
53%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +4 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MFC
0 - 2
TDA
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 1
TDA
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | +1 |