Cimarrones de Sonora vs Tigres de Álica analysis

Cimarrones de Sonora Tigres de Álica
73 ELO 34
-3.8% Tilt 2.8%
1273º General ELO ranking 8276º
28º Country ELO ranking 118º
ELO win probability
67.8%
Cimarrones de Sonora
20.4%
Draw
11.8%
Tigres de Álica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
Cimarrones de Sonora
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.8%
Win probability
Tigres de Álica
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cimarrones de Sonora
-14%
+346%
Tigres de Álica

Points and table prediction

Cimarrones de Sonora
Their league position
Tigres de Álica
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
14
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Apodaca
25
24
100%
Cimarrones de Sonora
25
23
100%
Durango
22
21
100%
Los Cabos
21
19
100%
Leones Negros II
18
18
100%
Tecos
18
16
100%
Mineros de Fresnillo
16
16
100%
UA Zacatecas
17
16
100%
Tritones Vallarta
17
15
100%
Tigres de Álica
10º
14
13
10º
100%
Agricultores Guasave
11º
10
8
11º
100%
Mexicali FC
12º
0
0
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cimarrones de Sonora
Tigres de Álica
Next round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Cimarrones de Sonora
Tigres de Álica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cimarrones de Sonora
Cimarrones de Sonora
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2025
RAF
Real Apodaca
1 - 0
Cimarrones de Sonora
CIM
25%
25%
50%
73 49 24 0
25 Jan. 2025
CIM
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 - 1
Los Cabos
LCU
57%
24%
19%
73 59 14 0
18 Jan. 2025
CIM
Cimarrones de Sonora
4 - 1
Tecos
EST
69%
20%
11%
72 55 17 +1
12 Jan. 2025
ZAC
UA Zacatecas
0 - 3
Cimarrones de Sonora
CIM
23%
25%
53%
72 59 13 0
15 Dec. 2024
IRA
Irapuato
3 - 0
Cimarrones de Sonora
CIM
46%
26%
28%
73 74 1 -1

Matches

Tigres de Álica
Tigres de Álica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2025
TDA
Tigres de Álica
1 - 1
Tecos
EST
20%
22%
58%
33 54 21 0
26 Jan. 2025
ZAC
UA Zacatecas
3 - 2
Tigres de Álica
TDA
74%
16%
10%
33 57 24 0
19 Jan. 2025
TDA
Tigres de Álica
1 - 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
MIN
23%
24%
53%
29 49 20 +4
12 Jan. 2025
MFC
Mexicali FC
0 - 2
Tigres de Álica
TDA
63%
19%
18%
27 38 11 +2
30 Nov. 2024
TRI
Tritones Vallarta
0 - 1
Tigres de Álica
TDA
70%
18%
12%
26 52 26 +1