Apertura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Atl. San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 0
CIM
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
UAT
1 - 0
CIM
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CIM
2 - 0
CAÑ
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CIM
0 - 0
UAP
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
JUA
3 - 0
CIM
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 0
CIM
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 1
AUR
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 0
UDG
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ALE
1 - 0
AUR
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AUR
3 - 1
CAF
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |