Cimarrones de Sonora vs Real Apodaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
6º
1º
20
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LCU
3 - 2
CIM
33%
28%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
CIM
19%
25%
57%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CIM
0 - 0
ZAC
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 1
CIM
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
CIM
2 - 1
CAP
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Apodaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
RAF
3 - 2
EST
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
3 - 1
RAF
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COL
0 - 6
RAF
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 3
EST
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
COR
0 - 2
RAF
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |