Cimarrones de Sonora vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
UDG
1 - 1
CIM
69%
21%
11%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CIM
1 - 1
CAF
20%
27%
54%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
ZAC
4 - 0
CIM
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CIM
2 - 0
TOR
20%
26%
54%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
CIM
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
MOR
13%
19%
68%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
JUA
27%
29%
45%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
TEP
1 - 1
MUR
69%
20%
12%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 2
UAP
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 0
MUR
74%
16%
11%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |