Cimarrones de Sonora vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
CIM
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CIM
0 - 1
CAF
19%
26%
55%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TEP
2 - 3
CIM
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CIM
0 - 0
UAT
17%
26%
57%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
CIM
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
ATS
4 - 1
MUR
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
JUA
19%
26%
56%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 1
MUR
65%
22%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATS
13%
20%
67%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
MER
25%
28%
48%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |