Cimarrones de Sonora vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CAC
0 - 1
CIM
30%
26%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LOR
5 - 1
CIM
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
REY
2 - 0
CIM
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CIM
2 - 1
CUR
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TEC
3 - 2
CIM
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 2
AGU
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 1
MUR
40%
26%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MUR
3 - 0
COR
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CIU
3 - 1
MUR
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MUR
3 - 1
BLN
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |