Cimarrones de Sonora vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
41.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
12º
6º
21
3º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
CFC
5 - 2
CIM
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
CIM
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 1
CIM
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
CIM
4 - 2
ALE
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TIA
1 - 2
CIM
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
TIA
2 - 3
MOR
21%
26%
52%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
CDT
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
CAP
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UDG
0 - 0
MOR
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
MOR
4 - 0
DOR
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |