Cimarrones de Sonora vs CA Morelia analysis

Cimarrones de Sonora CA Morelia
69 ELO 72
-10.2% Tilt -5.5%
1272º General ELO ranking 1548º
28º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
38.1%
Cimarrones de Sonora
28.1%
Draw
33.8%
CA Morelia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
Cimarrones de Sonora
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33.8%
Win probability
CA Morelia
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cimarrones de Sonora
-12%
-1%
CA Morelia

Points and table prediction

Cimarrones de Sonora
Their league position
CA Morelia
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
30
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Celaya
37
37
100%
CD Tapatío
31
31
100%
CA Morelia
30
30
100%
Atlante FC
28
28
100%
Tepatitlán FC
25
25
100%
Cimarrones de Sonora
25
25
100%
Raya2 Expansión
24
24
100%
Tlaxcala FC
23
23
100%
Venados FC
22
22
0%
Pumas Tabasco
11º
22
22
10º
0%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
10º
22
22
11º
100%
Correcaminos UAT
12º
22
22
12º
0%
Leones Negros
13º
21
21
13º
0%
CA La Paz
14º
21
21
14º
0%
Cancún
15º
19
19
15º
100%
Durango
16º
19
19
16º
100%
Mineros de Zacatecas
17º
17
17
17º
100%
Dorados
18º
9
9
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cimarrones de Sonora
CA Morelia
Final Series
0% 100%
Next round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Cimarrones de Sonora
CA Morelia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cimarrones de Sonora
Cimarrones de Sonora
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2023
ZAC
Mineros de Zacatecas
0 - 2
Cimarrones de Sonora
CIM
35%
26%
39%
69 61 8 0
06 Apr. 2023
CIM
Cimarrones de Sonora
0 - 0
Tepatitlán FC
TEM
49%
26%
24%
69 66 3 0
29 Mar. 2023
CIM
Cimarrones de Sonora
0 - 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
ALE
48%
27%
25%
69 65 4 0
25 Mar. 2023
CFC
Cancún
1 - 2
Cimarrones de Sonora
CIM
23%
27%
50%
68 57 11 +1
22 Mar. 2023
CIM
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 - 1
Celaya
TOR
34%
29%
36%
68 74 6 0

Matches

CA Morelia
CA Morelia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2023
MOR
CA Morelia
2 - 1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
ALE
59%
24%
18%
71 66 5 0
06 Apr. 2023
SPT
Pumas Tabasco
1 - 0
CA Morelia
MOR
26%
27%
47%
71 58 13 0
03 Apr. 2023
MOR
CA Morelia
3 - 2
Celaya
TOR
41%
28%
31%
71 74 3 0
27 Mar. 2023
DOR
Dorados
0 - 1
CA Morelia
MOR
26%
26%
47%
71 61 10 0
24 Mar. 2023
UDG
Leones Negros
0 - 1
CA Morelia
MOR
35%
27%
38%
70 65 5 +1