Cimarrones de Sonora vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
15.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
2º
2º
16
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
MFC
0 - 5
CIM
18%
25%
57%
|
73 | 34 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
CIM
0 - 0
DUR
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
LEO
3 - 1
CIM
13%
22%
66%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CIM
2 - 1
ADG
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
TRI
0 - 0
CIM
11%
21%
68%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MIN
0 - 2
EST
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
LCU
1 - 0
MIN
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 1
MFC
68%
19%
14%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
DUR
4 - 2
MIN
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 1
LEO
38%
26%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |