Cimarrones de Sonora vs Mexicali FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability

1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.1%
Win probability

0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

-14%
-32%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
6º
1º
3
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
![]() |
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
![]() |
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
![]() |
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
![]() |
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
![]() |
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
![]() |
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
![]() |
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
![]() |
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
![]() |
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
![]() |
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 Oct. 2024 |
DUR
![]() 2 - 2
![]() CIM
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
20 Oct. 2024 |
CIM
![]() 1 - 0
![]() LEO
78%
16%
6%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
17 Oct. 2024 |
ADG
![]() 7 - 5
![]() CIM
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 21 | 49 | 0 |
12 Oct. 2024 |
CIM
![]() 3 - 0
![]() TRI
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
06 Oct. 2024 |
TDA
![]() 0 - 1
![]() CIM
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 17 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Mexicali FC

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
![]() 0 - 2
![]() EST
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
20 Oct. 2024 |
ZAC
![]() 4 - 0
![]() MFC
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
17 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
![]() 1 - 1
![]() MIN
29%
25%
47%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
13 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
![]() 0 - 1
![]() LCU
21%
25%
54%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
05 Oct. 2024 |
DUR
![]() 5 - 0
![]() MFC
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | 0 |